No presidential ticket for Kwankwaso in 2027, Keyamo declares

The Minister of Aviation and Aerospace Growth, Festus Keyamo, has mentioned that the previous Kano State Governor, Rabiu Kwankwaso, has “boxed himself into one of many tightest corners in his political profession” over what he described as his refusal or indecision to just accept an earlier political olive department from the All Progressives Congress.

Keyamo, who issued an announcement on Sunday, famous that he had “at all times admired Engr. Mohammed Rabi’u Musa Kwankwaso from a distance,” however argued that current political developments had left the previous governor going through a narrowing set of selections forward of the 2027 common election.

Based on him, Kwankwaso’s presidential ambition is on the centre of his present dilemma.

The assertion partly learn, “Kwankwaso needs to be President, however not one of the main political events will decide him as a candidate in 2027. APC & PDP are going South & ADC’s ticket is Atiku’s to lose.

“Atiku is the proprietor of ADC (argue together with your keypad, in case you like). Solely a significant political Party can win a Presidential election in Nigeria.

“NNPP remains to be a one-State Party, and with the current wave of defections from NNPP (together with the Governor himself), it’s uncertain if it could keep its grip on Kano in 2027. A frontrunner is just as robust as his devoted lieutenants.”

He additional argued that the previous governor’s calculations rule out assist for a northern presidential candidate in 2027.

“Kwankwaso won’t assist a Northern candidate as a result of that ends his personal Presidential ambition since he could have to attend for one more 16 years after 2027 to get a shot on the Presidency – 8 possible years for the Northern Candidate and one other 8 possible years when it rotates to the South once more.

“That’s a bet he WILL NOT TAKE. He can be 86 years outdated by then. So, this fully guidelines out an ATIKU-Kwankwaso cooperation in 2027”, Keyamo’s s assertion continued.

Keyamo mentioned that primarily based on prevailing political realities, 2031 seems to be Kwankwaso’s most reasonable presidential window, however warned that selections taken in 2027 can be decisive.

“Based mostly on the above calculations, the one pathway for Kwankwaso is in 2031, however the alliance he builds in 2027 can be essential to his ambitions in 2031.

“If his grip on Kano slips in 2027, it would water down his clout and affect in 2031 to be handed a Presidential ticket by any of the main Political events. That is the time he can money in on his presumed dominance of Kano politics and take an opportunity,” he added.

The minister narrowed Kwankwaso’s reasonable alliance choices to a few political events, noting that every comes with important limitations.

“Kwankwaso’s solely likelihood of a practical alliance now with a significant political Party is definitely narrowed right down to the PDP, the APC or the Labour Party (provided that Peter Obi returns there and picks the 2027 Presidential ticket, and he agrees to run as VP candidate to Obi). However all three choices current their very own challenges,” Keyamo mentioned.

On the Peoples Democratic Party, he said: “With the PDP now gasping for breath, it could be simpler for Kwankwaso to return to PDP on some phrases (like taking on the whole construction in Kano and a few North West States and returning Kano to PDP).

“And that may sign the loss of life of NNPP. However with the zoning of the Presidential ticket to the South, that might imply a suspension of his 2027 Presidential ambition until 2031.”

On the APC choice, Keyamo mentioned, “If Kwankwaso decides to pitch tent with the APC, he’s in no place to dictate a lot phrases to the Party. With the exodus of key figures from NNPP to APC in Kano, the APC’s construction in Kano is now in higher stead to problem the NNPP in 2027.

“The APC is due to this fact not so determined for a Kwankwaso in Kano, however can be glad to welcome him into the Party. He nonetheless stays an asset. However one factor is bound: the APC can not throw its whole construction in Kano beneath the bus for a Kwankwaso, particularly with the Governor parting methods with him.

“Nevertheless, the attraction of the APC for him is that the APC nonetheless has the nationwide unfold and constructions to retain energy in 2031. So, an APC choice for Kwankwaso may also imply a suspension of his Presidential ambition until 2031.”

On the Labour Party, he was categorical, stating, “The 2027 Labour Party choice for Kwankwaso is narrower as a result of he merely can not and won’t run as Vice-Presidential candidate to Peter Obi. Take that to the financial institution.

“His personal individuals won’t even assist him to offer a probable contemporary 8 years to the South (overlook all of the noise of ‘I’ll serve only one time period).”

Keyamo concluded that Kwankwaso now stands at a crucial political juncture with probably career-defining penalties.

“From the eventualities above, Kwankwaso is in a really tough political crossroads. The choice he makes now could retire him completely from politics or revive his Presidential ambition.

“However one truth is evident: similar to late Buhari and the CPC, with no handshake with one other main Party, he’ll stay an area champion together with his NNPP, however that too could quickly vanish with the current predicament of the Party in Kano,” his assertion concluded.